Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.130640 2.429142 2.754212 3.134493 3.567196 4.044286 4.610341
2025-09-14 1.620457 2.014981 2.482609 3.077765 3.815350 4.699914 5.842267
2025-09-21 1.346593 1.777566 2.319065 3.049425 4.009377 5.229155 6.899061
2025-09-28 1.147815 1.591402 2.176079 3.003182 4.144050 5.664169 7.847382
2025-10-05 1.080323 1.563013 2.226206 3.204009 4.610424 6.563102 9.486586
2025-10-12 0.973043 1.462624 2.160798 3.229088 4.824439 7.122669 10.694155
2025-10-19 0.908536 1.414136 2.160074 3.340780 5.165479 7.884094 12.255063
2025-10-26 0.821469 1.320665 2.080732 3.322208 5.302778 8.347176 13.398832
2025-11-02 0.749010 1.241215 2.013070 3.311453 5.445356 8.822675 14.594752
2025-11-09 0.675438 1.151769 1.919819 3.248194 5.493560 9.146606 15.566423
2025-11-16 0.630681 1.105026 1.890335 3.284825 5.705562 9.748210 17.043063
2025-11-23 0.592198 1.064803 1.867183 3.328256 5.929821 10.384093 18.626989
2025-11-30 0.540722 1.000796 1.804200 3.308842 6.065154 10.917690 20.154396
2025-12-07 0.487590 0.929024 1.721936 3.249372 6.128223 11.339971 21.544805
2025-12-14 0.445315 0.872311 1.660227 3.219434 6.239112 11.853424 23.147144
2025-12-21 0.405551 0.815853 1.592814 3.170618 6.307139 12.289883 24.640830
2025-12-28 0.401340 0.828295 1.657135 3.382625 6.899819 13.775603 28.328031
2026-01-04 0.376106 0.795667 1.629974 3.409100 7.124676 14.563039 30.690029
2026-01-11 0.362738 0.785936 1.647229 3.527010 7.545779 15.777799 34.045289
2026-01-18 0.336934 0.747173 1.601131 3.507404 7.676584 16.409172 36.230248
2026-01-25 0.314301 0.712887 1.560964 3.496050 7.822832 17.083887 38.571016
2026-02-01 0.289016 0.670106 1.498442 3.429269 7.840492 17.483499 40.340407
2026-02-08 0.274473 0.650145 1.483835 3.467939 8.096842 18.425431 43.422108